A cardiovascular risk calculator to save millions of lives
It is a collaboration of about 200 investigators, including 45 cohorts in 13 countries with 700,000 participants, and has taken almost 2 years to create a meaningful cardiovascular risk score for the next 10 years. But arguably the most important number surrounding the SCORE21 risk prediction tool is that it is designed to save millions of lives. The new risk calculator incorporates the most comprehensive and up-to-date data and advanced statistical methods, to produce a tool that will help clinicians better predict people at high risk of heart and circulatory diseases and facilitate early and relevant intervention. Professor Emanuele Di Angelantonio [co-chair of the ESC Cardiovascular Risk Collaboration (CRC)2 with Professor Ian Graham from Trinity College] has co-ordinated the project to produce SCORE2, which updates and replaces the original Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) risk calculator developed using pre-1986 data. The SCORE2 risk calculator includes latest epidemiological trends in in risk factors levels and heart and circulatory diseases to deliver a much-needed upgrade from the previous prediction tool—which was only able to estimate cardiovascular mortality and might mis-estimate the cardiovascular risk in some individuals—and can predict both fatal and non-fatal conditions. It is also adaptable to countries with different levels of risk.